MET Central

2017 Monsoon Contest Predictions

To: All LTER'ers July 3, 2017
From: Met Central
Subject: 2017 Monsoon Predictions

2017 Monsoon Contest Predictions

Some convective storms have strafed portions of the Sevillita on both
Saturday and Sunday with one of the stations on the north edge of the
west side getting 13.5 mm. A real monsoon type weather pattern is
predicted by the end of the week.

May 2017 Met Central - A second Cool Month in a Row

April 2017 Met Central - Finally Some Cooling and Increased Moisture

The good news was that temperatures on the Sevilleta finally backed
off a bit in April, particularly at the end of the month.
While the month started on a cool note
temperatures did run at or
above normal for much of the middle portion of the month. Then the
month ended on a decidedly cool note with the daily average high
temperature on the 28th actually came in only slightly above the
average daily low temperature for that date. Snow coated the ground

March 2017 Met Central - Hottest March on Record


And the heat goes on.
March busted almost all of the previous March
temperature records. Warm and warmer was the story of March. There
were only 7 days with daily high temperatures at or below average.
Monthly average daily highs, daily lows and daily averages all broke
the previous records. Three new daily high temperature records were
set as well.

MetCentral - Febrary 2017 - Very Warm February with One Saving Storm


February temperatures
continued the warm trend that has been the case
through much of the winter. The month began with an 11-day warm spell
that included 4 new daily high temperature records. After a
precipitous drop for a couple of days, temperatures returned to near
or above normal for most of the rest of the month with 2 more daily
high temperature records falling. Ultimately average daily

MetCentral - January 2017 - Continuing Wet Winter

January continued the near record winter moisture regime that started
back in November. A mid-month storm delivered the big punch but a
storm at the beginning of the month a few smaller storms toward the
end of the month supplemented this major input. This resulted in almost a
near record wet January. Ultimately the Sevilleta saw an average of
33.9 mm across the refuge which is over 4 times the monthly expected
average (8.0 mm). This pushed Jan, 2017 into 2nd place in wet
January's... just ever so slightly behind the 34.3 mm of 2005.

December 2016 Met Central - Quite Good Moisture for a La Nina Year

Early December was mostly dry on the Sevilleta. Storms followed a
typical La Nina pattern with most of them going north of NM. Then
mid-month and again just before Christmas there were a couple of
warmer and wetter storms that rolled through the state giving the
Sevilleta a couple of good shots of moisture - mostly rain. This
provided the refuge with about its normal December precipitation.
Finally a storm on 31st delivered moisture that pushed the average up
by about half again above normal. This resulted in the 4th wettest

October 2016 - Met Central - New Record Warm October


October
started only a little warmer than normal, then went to much
warmer than normal and then finished the month with 10 days of record
or near record high temperatures. There were only 5 days with average
daily high temperatures below average. There were 8 new daily high
temperature records set during the month. The average daily high of
78.8 degrees F shattered the old record daytime high average of 77.1 F

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