Despite NOAA's prediction of increased chances of a wetter than normal August the moisture did not ever come. The monsoon moisture flow got pushed over into Arizona during almost the entire month. Back door cold fronts provided most of the moisture and showers during August. While some of these storms produced severe weather events in parts of NM, on the whole storms were rather hit and miss.. with miss being the key word. The average precipitation for the Sevilleta was only 17.4 mm making it the driest August in Sevilleta's 1989-present record.
August 6, 2012
Despite the relatively early start to the monsoon, July ultimately turned out to be a bit of a disappointment for much of New Mexico. Some areas of the state did fairly well while many areas, not so much. Likewise, some portions of the Sevilleta got above normal precipitation while the majority did not. Most of the Sevilleta rain came in the first 10 days of the month with only the 18th and and 22nd having much precipitation during the rest of the month.
July 3, 2012
No relief - June started hot... and stayed hot and ended with the hottest day of the year so far. There have been hotter Junes but not many. Actually this was the hottest coolest June that has been recorded on the Sevilleta in the 1989-2012 Sev LTER tenure.
Below are this years entries for the Monsoon Prediction Contest. Predictions were submitted by 61 people. If you really think that you submitted a guess and it is not on the list, please contact me immediately- it could have gotten lost in my SPAM. People's dates and times should be correct as I just copied and pasted them - hence the variety of formats. July 7 was the most popular choice this year with 6 selections. June 29 and July 1, had 4 picks each. Monsoon type moisture appears to be bubbling up into S.E. Arizona and S.W.
June 5, 2012
May started the month with continued warmer than normal temperatures for almost the first week but then saw a drop into cooler than normal temperatures for an extended period and even though rain was not abundant humidities were way up. Drier and warmer conditions returned for the second half of the month.
May 6, 2012
April on the Sevilleta supposedly has an average precipitation of just about a half an inch - 12.0 mm. In reality it seems like it never gets this average. Rather it seems to be either much greater than that or much less than that. This year it was considerably greater due to the single storm event at the beginning of the month. The refuge-wide average was 21 mm (0.83") with a range of 14.2 mm at Red Tank in the Ladrons to 24.4 mm at Cerro Montoso. This was almost double the average total precipitation for the first 3 months of 2012 on the refuge.
March came in like a lion with roaring winds across the state. There were more than a few more even windier days with gusts up over 50 mph on them 18th. March was certainly warmer than normal but this was primarily due to elevated day time highs. The average lows actually ran below normal and with most lows running near or below normal. The daily average temperatures ran about a half a degree centigrade above normal. There were a few big temperature dips as well as cold fronts rolled through.
March 7, 2012
February cooled off after the warm January. It also dried out... especially in the Sevilleta region.
Multiple storms rolled through New Mexico during the month with variable amounts of punch. The Sevilleta did not end up being in line for any with the bigger amounts of moisture. The refuge-wide average of 1.2 mm was far below even the meager February normal average of 8.6 mm (0.34"). This is actually only the 7th driest February in the 23 year Sev record.
February 7, 2012
January 9, 2012
Following the pattern of the entire U.S. 2011 was a year of extremes on the Sevilleta and in NM.